JSM 2022 logo with Washington, DC and dates August 6–11.

Researchers from the Center for Statistics and Applications in Forensic Evidence (CSAFE) will present posters and papers at the Joint Statistical Meetings (JSM). JSM will be held Aug. 6-11 in Washington, D.C.
JSM is one of the largest statistical events in the world, offering an opportunity for statistics in academia, industry and government to exchange ideas and explore opportunities for collaboration. This year’s theme is “Statistics: A Foundation for Innovation” and will feature invited and contributed technical sessions, poster presentations and other activities. For more information, visit https://ww2.amstat.org/meetings/jsm/2022.

CSAFE researchers will share the latest advancements in their research activities using statistical methods. Below is the list of presentations and poster submissions. An asterisk (*) denotes a CSAFE researcher or collaborator.

Invited Papers

Rethinking Spatial Confounding: Determining When Adjustment Improves Inference in Spatial Linear Mixed Models
Aug. 7, 4:05 p.m.
Kori Khan, Iowa State University* and Candace Berrett, Brigham Young University

Statistics Research Driven by Real Problems: The Expanding Legacy of John Tukey’s Career in Data Analysis, Robustness, and Service to Science
Aug. 7, 4:05 p.m.
Karen Kafadar, University of Virginia*

The Key Roles of Significance Tests, P-Values, and Statistical Methods in Scientific Research
Aug. 10, 8:35 a.m.
Karen Kafadar, University of Virginia*

Contributed Papers

Interpretation of Handwriting Evidence Using Error Rates and Score-Based Likelihood Ratios
Aug. 9, 3:05 p.m.
Danica Ommen, Iowa State University* and Larry Tang, University of Central Florida

Topic Contributed Papers

Characterizing Variability in Forensic Decision-Making with Item Response Theory
Aug. 8, 10:35 a.m.
Amanda Luby, Swarthmore College*

An Algorithm for Forensic Toolmark Comparisons
Aug. 8, 10:55 a.m.
Maria Cuellar, University of Pennsylvania* and Heike Hofmann, Iowa State University*

The Impact of COVID-19 Lockdowns on Crime: Causal Evidence from Bogota, Colombia
Aug. 9, 2:05 p.m.
Maria Cuellar, University of Pennsylvania*; Javier Rojas, University of Chicago; and Angela Zorro Medina, The University of Chicago

Topic Contributed Poster Presentations

Ensemble of SLR Systems for Forensic Evidence
Aug. 8, 2–3:05 p.m.
Federico Alejandro Veneri Guarch, Iowa State University* and Danica Ommen, Iowa State University*

Contributed Speed and Poster Presentations

Reliability for Binary and Ordinal Data in Forensics
Speed Presentation: Aug. 8, 9:05 a.m.
Poster Presentation: Aug. 8, 10:30–11:15 a.m.
Hina Arora, University of California, Irvine*; Naomi Kaplan-Damary, Hebrew University*; and Hal Stern, University of California, Irvine*

Jury Perception of Bullet Matching Algorithms and Demonstrative Evidence
Speed Presentation: Aug. 8, 10:40 a.m.
Poster Presentation: Aug. 8, 2–2:45 p.m.
Rachel Rogers, University of Nebraska-Lincoln* and Susan VanderPlas, University of Nebraska-Lincoln*

Likelihood Ratios for Categorical Evidence with Applications to Digital Forensics
Speed Presentation: Aug. 8, 11:10 a.m.
Poster Presentation: Aug. 8, 2–2:45 p.m.
Rachel Longjohn, University of California, Irvine* and Padhraic Smyth, University of California, Irvine

Sessions

Session 8: The Best of AOAS, Invited Papers
Aug. 7, 2–3:50 p.m.
Session organizer and chair: Karen Kafadar, University of Virginia*

Session 134: Statistics for Strengthening Inferences from Forensic Evidence, Topic Contributed Papers
Aug. 8, 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m.
Organizer: Karen Kafadar, University of Virginia*
Discussant: Hal Stern, University of California, Irvine*

Roundtable Discussion

Combining Visualization Best Practices with Agency Standards for Statistical Graphics in Government Reports
Aug. 9, 7–8:15 a.m.
Haley Jeppson, National Institute of Statistical Sciences; Brian Habing, National Institute of Statistical Sciences; and Heike Hofmann, Iowa State University*

Business Meeting

Advisory Committee on Forensic Science
Aug. 9, 7–8:30 a.m.
Chair: Maria Cuellar, University of Pennsylvania*

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