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Statistical Thinking for Forensic Practitioners Short Course (Fall 2022)

Published: 2022
Primary Author: Hal Stern

Presenter:
Hal Stern
Provost and Executive Vice Chancellor, University of California, Irvine
Chancellor’s Professor in the Department of Statistics, University of California, Irvine
Co-Director, CSAFE

Presentation Description:
In this four-part short course, Dr. Hal Stern introduces fundamental concepts from probability and statistics –– motivated by forensic issues –– followed by a detailed investigation of how they apply to assess forensic evidence’s probative value.

Sessions include topics such as:

  • Definition and interpretation of probability
  • Basic laws of probability
  • Conditional probability and independence of events
  • Bayes’ Theorem and Bayesian statistics
  • Variability and its sources
  • Populations and samples
  • Estimations of populations quantities
  • Hypothesis and equivalence testing
  • Two-stage approach to assessing forensic evidence
  • Likelihood ratio approach

 

Course Materials:
Session One Slides
Session Two Slides
Session Three Slides
Session Four Slides

Session One Recording:

Session Two Recording:

Session Three Recording:

Session Four Recording:

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