Presenter:
Hal Stern
Provost and Executive Vice Chancellor, University of California, Irvine
Chancellor’s Professor in the Department of Statistics, University of California, Irvine
Co-Director, CSAFE
Presentation Description:
In this four-part short course, Dr. Hal Stern introduces fundamental concepts from probability and statistics –– motivated by forensic issues –– followed by a detailed investigation of how they apply to assess forensic evidence’s probative value.
Sessions include topics such as:
- Definition and interpretation of probability
- Basic laws of probability
- Conditional probability and independence of events
- Bayes’ Theorem and Bayesian statistics
- Variability and its sources
- Populations and samples
- Estimations of populations quantities
- Hypothesis and equivalence testing
- Two-stage approach to assessing forensic evidence
- Likelihood ratio approach
Course Materials:
Session One Slides
Session Two Slides
Session Three Slides
Session Four Slides
Session One Recording:
Session Two Recording:
Session Three Recording:
Session Four Recording: