Skip to content

Probabilistic Reporting in Criminal Cases in the United States: A Baseline Study

Journal: Science & Justice
Published: 2020
Primary Author: Simon Cole
Secondary Authors: Matt Barno

Forensic evidence reporting shows a high degree of adherence to prevailing disciplinary standards.  Probabilistic reporting of forensic results remains rare.  Probabilistic reports were mostly subjective verbal assignments of posterior probabilities.

Related Resources

A Pioneer in Forensic Science Reform: The Work of Paul Giannelli

A Pioneer in Forensic Science Reform: The Work of Paul Giannelli

Few can say, “I told you so,” to our entire criminal justice system. Being right about what is wrong with the use of evidence in criminal cases is not a…
How Can a Forensic Result Be a ‘Decision’? A Critical Analysis of Ongoing Reforms of Forensic Reporting Formats for Federal Examiners

How Can a Forensic Result Be a ‘Decision’? A Critical Analysis of Ongoing Reforms of Forensic Reporting Formats for Federal Examiners

The decade since the publication of the 2009 National Research Council report on forensic science has seen the increasing use of a new word to describe forensic results. What were…
Psychometric Analysis of Forensic Examiner Behavior

Psychometric Analysis of Forensic Examiner Behavior

Forensic science often involves the comparison of crime-scene evidence to a known-source sample to determine if the evidence and the reference sample came from the same source. Even as forensic…
Implementation of a Blind Quality Control Program in a Forensic Laboratory

Implementation of a Blind Quality Control Program in a Forensic Laboratory

A blind quality control (QC) program was successfully developed and implemented in the Toxicology, Seized Drugs, Firearms, Latent Prints (Processing and Comparison), Forensic Biology, and Multimedia (Digital and Audio/Video) sections…
Do you have 44.03 seconds?

44.3 Seconds. That is the average amount of time it takes for a visitor to provide site feedback.
Test it yourself by taking the survey.


    A scientist/researcherA member of the forensic science communityA journalist/publicationA studentOther. Please indicate.


    Learn more about CSAFE overall.Discover research CSAFE is undertaking.Explore collaboration opportunities.Find tools and education opportunities.Other. Please indicate.


    YesNo